The annals

The Second
Summoning.

v0.2 makes the assembly less theatrical and more truthful: minds with covariance, crowds with census weight, numbers with humility, and an agora where opinions meet.

v0.2

Truer Minds

Correlated Big Five sampling

Why: real minds are not five independent dials; inter-trait correlations preserve the joint personality structure that marginal matching can lose.

van der Linden et al. 2010, meta-analytic Big Five inter-trait correlations, N=144k; Williams et al. 2026, arXiv:2601.15755

v0.2

Truer Crowds

National census margins

Why: each summoned panel now begins from the population ledger - age pyramids, education tables, and income-class shares - before it speaks.

UN WPP 2024; ACS 2023; Census-of-India education tables; national income-class shares

Post-stratified verdicts

Why: IPF raking brings the synthetic sample back to its target margins, while Kish effective sample size tells how much signal remains after weighting.

Pew-style survey weighting; iterative proportional fitting; Kish effective sample size

v0.2

Honest Numbers

Bootstrap confidence intervals

Why: every verdict now carries a 95% interval, so certainty must be earned rather than implied by a single gilded number.

Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals on v0.2 verdict outputs

Computed validation tiers

Why: each result receives a B or C tier from the evidence available, with variance-collapse diagnostics against human purchase-intent dispersion.

Maier et al. 2025, arXiv:2510.08338; SSR reaches roughly 90% of human test-retest reliability

v0.2

The Agora

Verbalized Sampling elicitation

Why: when ordinary prompting narrows the chorus, probability-weighted sets of possible reactions recover 1.6-2.1x of the diversity lost to mode collapse.

Zhang et al. 2025, arXiv:2510.01171

Social-dynamics pass

Why: Friedkin-Johnsen dynamics over a small-world network show how word of mouth can move the verdict, including early warnings for cascade risk.

Asch-line conformity literature; Han et al. 2026, arXiv:2601.05606; confidence-weighted distributed pooling

The verdict is still a screening signal. It is now clearer about the minds it summons, the crowd it represents, and the uncertainty it must confess.

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